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January 30th, 2008 12:21 AM

People don't care how much you know, until they know how much you care.

Sam Walton.


Posted by David Pattison on January 30th, 2008 12:21 AMPost a Comment (0)

THE DEATH OF AN OLD FRIEND
January 17th, 2008 4:30 PM

THE DEATH OF AN OLD FRIEND

Today we mourn the passing of an old friend, by the name of Common Sense. Common Sense lived a long life but died recently in the United States. No one really knows how old he was, since his birth records were long ago lost in bureaucratic red tape.

He selflessly devoted his life to service in schools, hospitals, homes, and factories helping folks get jobs done without fanfare and foolishness. For decades, petty rules, silly laws, and frivolous lawsuits held no power over Common Sense. He was credited with cultivating such valued lessons as to know when to come in out of the rain, why the early bird gets the worm, and that life isn't always fair.

Common Sense lived by simple, sound financial policies (don't spend more than you earn), reliable parenting strategies (the adults are in charge, not the kids), and it's okay to come in second. A veteran of the Industrial Revolution, the Great Depression, and the Technological Revolution, Common Sense survived cultural and educational trends including body piercing, whole language, and "new math."

But his health declined when he became infected with the "If-it-only-helps-one person-it's-worth-it" virus. In recent decades his waning strength proved no match for the ravages of well intentioned but overbearing regulations.

He watched in pain as good people became ruled by self-seeking lawyers. His health rapidly deteriorated when schools endlessly implemented zero tolerance policies. Reports of a six-year-old boy charged with sexual harassment for kissing a classmate, a teen suspended for taking a swig of mouthwash after lunch, and a teacher fired for reprimanding an unruly student only worsened his condition.

It declined even further when schools had to get parental consent to administer aspirin to a student but could not inform the parent when a female student was pregnant or wanted an abortion.

Finally, Common Sense lost his will to live as the Ten Commandments became contraband, churches became businesses, criminals received better treatment than victims, and federal judges stuck their noses in everything from the Boy Scouts to professional sports.

Finally, when people, too stupid to realize that a steaming cup of coffee was hot, were awarded a huge settlement, Common Sense threw in the towel.

As the end neared, Common Sense drifted in and out of logic but was kept informed of developments regarding questionable regulations such as those for low flow toilets, rocking chairs, and stepladders.

Common Sense was preceded in death by his parents, Truth and Trust; his wife, Discretion; his daughter, Responsibility; and his son, Reason. He is survived by two step siblings: My Rights, and Ima Whiner.

Not many attended his funeral because so few realized that Common Sense was gone.


Posted by David Pattison on January 17th, 2008 4:30 PMPost a Comment (0)

Good Article by Gary Watts - The Real State of Real Estate
January 10th, 2008 6:02 PM

The Real State of Real Estate

Presented by Gary Watts - Real Estates Economist  -  August 2007

Brief History of Real Estate

Historically, housing downturns average 27 months. We are in the 23rd month of the current downturn, so once we are past this financial over-reaction, things should improve. The national median price of a resale home is 3.4% higher than a year ago and the pending sales index is moving back up.

1970 to 1980

A quote appeared in Business Week (late 1969) due to an increase in housing prices. "The goal of owning a home seems to be getting beyond the reach of more and more Americans". The typical new house today costs about $28,000. In 1972, interest rates were 7% and it would take over 24 years before a home buyer could be able to obtain those low rates once again. Today, we are in the low 6's. In 1973, banks had a run on deposits and for a period of approximately 8 months there were no lenders who were in a position to make loans to home buyers. This should have caused a collapse in the real estate market, but home prices continued to rise. In 1977, the National Business magazine stated: "the median price of a home today is approaching $50,000. Housing experts predict price rises in the future won't be that great."

1980 to 1 990

At the end of the 70's and into the go's, inflation hit 21.5% and home loans were reaching 18%! This was followed by a crash (and later bail out) of the savings and loan industry in America. Although large job losses were creating foreclosures, home prices continued to rise. By 1985, Money Magazine made this prediction about home prices: "The Golden-Age of risk free run-ups in home prices is gone." With a buildup in defense spending and huge growth in manufacturing sector in the late 198OYs, increased job creation led to a boom in home construction and home prices continued to rise. Then on November 11, 1989, a dramatic event took place: the Berlin Wall came down! With the Evil Empire (the Soviet Union) breaking up, things were going to change around the world and change quickly!

1990 to 2000

In early 1990, Congress began slashing funds for defense spending. Within a very short period of time, a lot of highly paid workers in both defense and manufacturing had lost their jobs. California home prices declined about 12% by 1996 when the San Francisco Examiner said: "A home is where the bad investment is." In the following three years, Caiifomia home prices rose 19.7%, wiping out all the losses of the early 90's and ended the decade with a net gain of 9.35%. The median price in California has not declined since 1996.

The Media

Today's media plays up bad economic news now more than ever, which leads to misconceptions about economic realty. Our economy is extremely strong, profits are superb and the world economy exploding.

  • All you read and hear is that real estate is going down, yet last month, prices in the US rose 3.4% from a year ago.
  • Foreclosures are supposed to be at a record high - but last year 98.83% of mortgages did not go in to foreclosure.
  • The media reported 53,942 notices of default for the second quarter - a near record high. They are comparing it to the first quarter of '96 when 61,541 notices were filed but fail to mention that five million more homes have been built in the U.S. since then! 

  •  What if the media's headlines read: "99.2% of Mortgages are NOT in Foreclosure"? The media and the financial markets have greatly overreacted to the real problems that have been revealed in the lending marketplace, which is typical.

The Sub-prime Market

It may surprise you to know that sub-prime loans make up only 5% of the US. total loan market and Alt-A loans (those with credit better than sub-prime but less than prime) total only 8% of all loans in the US.!

  • These exotic loans became a major influence in the early 200O9s, but anyone obtaining them up through 2004 had very few problems due to rapid equity growth. Many with no money down purchases soon found they had 20% (+) equity within a year or two!
  • Most of the problems with sub-prime loans originated in the summer of 2005 through 2006.

The media will still report about massive delinquencies and huge foreclosures in the sub-prime market, but those reports will not be accurate because they don't explain the difference between a delinquent payment, a notice of default, or a foreclosure. They tell us "Foreclosures at Record High!" but that is not accurate.

Source: Mortgage Bankers Association, National Home Builders Association, Inside h4orrgage Finance.

Delinquencies vs. Notices of Default vs. Foreclosures

Delinquencies

Delinquencies cover any missed payment - even if it is just for one month, it is reported as a delinquency.

  • The delinquency rate on sub-prime loans was running at 13.77%, which is up 13.44% from the previous year. In the last quarter, the delinquency rate dropped to 12.4%!
  •  The delinquency rate on Alt-A loans is only 2.69%. while prime loans are at 2.57.
  • Combining the three rates with the loan volume gives you a delinquency rate for all loans in the U.S. of only 4.84%. The record low is 4.0%.
  • On jumbo mortgages (anything larger than $417,000), the delinquency rate is 0.37%.

Notices of Default

Notices of default are filed when lenders1 loans have been delinquent for a specific period of time. These loans begin the foreclosure process. The four states of California, Florida, Arizona, and Nevada currently have the largest amount of loans in the foreclosure process. Yet, in the first quarter, 24 states saw a decline in foreclosure starts and 36 states saw a decline in the second quarter!

  • Only 3.23% of all sub-prime loans have entered the foreclosure process, with most of the defaults occurring on loans from January 2005 to June 2006.
  • Only 1.28% of all prime loans have entered the foreclosure process.

Foreclosures

Foreclosures occur when the buyer has been unsuccessful in curing the debt, and either a lender or an investor has acquired the property. As of last month, there was one foreclosure filing for every 693 homes in America.

  • For sub-prime loans, 68% of the buyers are able to prevent the foreclosure by either refinancing the property or successfully selling their home.
  • For prime loans, the foreclosure rate is 0.86%. Last year, the U.S. saw a combined foreclosure rate of only I .09%.

A final note about foreclosures: the #I reason they occurred was due to fraud.The #2 reason was unethical lending, followed by #3 - loss of job, and finally #4was medical reasons.

Source: Mortgage Bankers Associarion, Federal Reserve, Federal Bureau of Investigation

 


Posted by David Pattison on January 10th, 2008 6:02 PMPost a Comment (0)

Positive Outlook from the National Association of Realtors
January 8th, 2008 8:55 AM

      Positive Outlook from the National Association of Realtors

  "We spend January 1 walking through our lives, room by room, drawing up a list of work to be done, cracks to be patched. Maybe this year, to balance the list, we ought to walk through the rooms of our lives... not looking for flaws, but for potential."
                                                 ~Ellen Goodman, Pulitzer Prize-Winning Columnist

        As we kick off another year “All Together,” it is easy to get caught up in news about what is wrong with the real estate market. The truth is that 2008 is shaping up to be a promising year for real estate, with plenty of opportunities to buy and sell in every market.

        According to NAR Research, there is significant pent-up housing demand that will begin to be unleashed into the marketplace in 2008. Many markets will see rising home sales and strengthening home prices. We believe that the worst of the credit problems are behind us. Great news for consumers and REALTORS®!

        Thanks to NAR, you have a distinct advantage when it comes to growing your business in the current environment. We are pulling out all the stops in 2008 to give you the information and resources you need to understand what is really happening in your local markets and to keep your clients informed. Check out our newest resources:

  • Local Market Reports – In addition to our national indicators and forecasts, REALTORS® now have access to more than 70 local market reports. With insights on sales, prices and economic factors, these reports will give you everything you need to counter negative news and tell consumers what is really happening in real estate. They are available free of charge to all NAR members. Just visit www.realtor.org/marketreports to find your local market.

  • Surround-Sound Media Outreach – NAR also has developed a new “Surround-Sound” media outreach toolkit for states and boards, which can help spread the word about all of the great opportunities to buy and sell real estate. This toolkit complements our national media outreach efforts and includes talking points, story ideas and tips for working with the media. The Surround Sound toolkit will be available online at www.Realtor.org in early February.

  • Research Studies – In 2008, NAR will be producing several new research reports that can help you grow your businesses. For example, our Profile of Vacation and Investment Home Buyers can help you tap into new markets. The Homebuyer and Seller Profile also can tell you exactly what consumers are looking for in a home and what they expect from you in the transaction. All of our reports and surveys are available at www.realtor.org/research.
       Again, these are just a few of the outstanding resources available exclusively to NAR members. We urge you to visit www.Realtor.org often in 2008 and use all of the information and services available to you.

       Since 1908, REALTORS® have worked hard to earn a reputation as America’s leading community builders and dream makers. Today, the “Voice for Real Estate” is stronger than it has ever been, speaking for millions of consumers in neighborhoods across America. And, we’re just getting started.

       Thanks to your participation in our advocacy efforts, NAR made tremendous strides on the public policy front last year, passing legislation in three key areas that will preserve the long-term value of real estate and help you grow your businesses:

  • Mortgage Relief – We achieved a major victory for consumers caught in costly mortgages, when President Bush signed the Mortgage Cancellation Tax Relief Act in December. We also are making affordable financing available to potential buyers through landmark FHA Reform. We expect this bill will go to conference early next year.

  • Terrorism Insurance – NAR also worked with Congress to keep the commercial real estate market strong and stable well into the future. President Bush recently signed a bill that continues the Terrorism Risk Insurance Program for seven years.

  • Banks in Real Estate – For the first time ever, Congress also passed a two-year moratorium on banks entering the real estate business, which will take effect early next year. We also have record support for a permanent ban through the Community Choice in Real Estate Act.

       Thanks, again, to your hard work, REALTORS® are in a prime position to succeed on many other key priorities in 2008, including GSE Reform, Flood Insurance Reform, Natural Disaster Reform, Affordable Housing Trust Fund and Mortgage Reform. All of these issues are critical to our professional success, a healthy real estate market and strong communities. Please keep up the great work on both RPAC and grassroots.

       NAR is constantly working on your behalf, and we want to hear from you. Please do not hesitate to contact us with your thoughts and suggestions. With your help, we will show consumers across the nation that now is a great time to invest in real estate. We are in this “All Together!”


Posted by David Pattison on January 8th, 2008 8:55 AMPost a Comment (0)

EXCELLENT OPPORTUNITY TO SAVE YOUR HOME!
January 7th, 2008 12:53 PM

EXCELLENT OPPORTUNITY TO SAVE YOUR HOME!

FHASecure Initiative

We are pleased to announce the roll-out of the FHA 203(b) FHASecure initiative. The FHASecure is a temporary program designed to provide refinancing opportunities to Homeowners who are currently delinquent on any Non-FHA ARM, Non-FHA Interest-Only ARM or Payment Option ARM as a direct result of payment shock due to a recent reset of their existing mortgage.

This is an excellent program to help those out who have arm loans expiring and are confronted with increased monthly payments along with being delinquent on their monthly payment. If the customer meets all of the program parameters, then we can refinance them into a fixed 30-year loan where the monthly principal & interest payments will not change for the 30 year loan term.

 


Posted by David Pattison on January 7th, 2008 12:53 PMPost a Comment (0)

Happy New Year!
January 2nd, 2008 4:17 PM
Wishing everyone a very happy and prosperous 2008

Posted by David Pattison on January 2nd, 2008 4:17 PMPost a Comment (0)

Awesome Message:
January 2nd, 2008 4:15 PM

Awesome message:

People will forget what you said, people will forget what you did, but people will never forget how you made them feel!


Posted by David Pattison on January 2nd, 2008 4:15 PMPost a Comment (0)

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